CPF’s real rate of return?

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GIC reports lower 20-year returns

I refer to the article “GIC reports lower 20-year returns, warns of tough times” (Straits Times, Jul 28).

GIC’s 20-year annualised real rate of return 4%

It states that “GIC’s 20-year annualised real rate of return – its most important benchmark – was 4 per cent for the financial year ended March 31, down from the 4.9 per cent in the previous year.

This means that GIC enhanced its portfolio by an average return of 4 per cent per year, over and above the global inflation rate between April 1996 and March this year.”

GIC’s 20-year annualised nominal rate of return 5.7%

According to GIC’s annual report – “In nominal USD terms, the portfolio generated an annualised return of 5.7% over the 20 years that ended 31 March 2016”.

20-year global inflation 1.7%?

So, does it mean that global inflation for the last 20 years was 1.7 per cent (5.7 – 4.0)?

CPF’s real rate of return?

Since “GIC’s 20-year annualised real rate of return – (is) its most important benchmark” – and CPF is managed by GIC – why not report the CPF interest rate in real terms too?

For example, since the CPF Ordinary Account interest rate has been at 2.5 per cent since 1999 – does it mean that the real rate of return is about 0.8 per cent (2.5 – 1.7)?

How does this compare with other national pension funds in the world?

Leong Sze Hian

About the Author

Leong
Leong Sze Hian has served as the president of 4 professional bodies, honorary consul of 2 countries, an alumnus of Harvard University, authored 4 books, quoted over 1500 times in the media , has been a radio talkshow host, a newspaper daily columnist, Wharton Fellow, SEACeM Fellow, columnist for theonlinecitizen and Malaysiakini, executive producer of Ilo Ilo (40 international awards), Hotel Mumbai (associate producer), invited to speak more than 200 times in about 40 countries, CIFA advisory board member, founding advisor to the Financial Planning Associations of 2 countries. He has 3 Masters, 2 Bachelors degrees and 13 professional  qualifications.