Elected President: Statistically speaking?

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I refer to the article “Parliament passes changes to elected presidency” (Straits Times, Nov 10).

It states that “It means Singapore’s next president is likely to be Malay, as next year’s election will be reserved for Malay candidates.

The amendments also raise the maximum number of Non-Constituency MPs from nine to 12, and give them the same voting rights as elected MPs.

All 77 People’s Action Party MPs present voted in favour of the changes, while all six elected Workers’ Party MPs opposed them.”

Statistically …

For the next presidential elections:

… 99.9% (estimated) of the people may not qualify

… Over 90% (estimated) of all the countries’ presidents may not qualify

… Probability of being “Indian and the minorities” – 0

… Probability of being Chinese – 0

… Probability of being Malay – 100%

… Probability of this happening in another country – slightly greater than 0 (estimated)

… Probability of anyone in the world laughing when they know about this – close to 100% (estimated)

… % of PAP MPs who voted for the changes – 100%

… % of WP MPs who voted against the changes – 100%

… % of MPs who participated in the debate – 41%

… % of the people who may qualify under “Private-sector candidates must have helmed a company with $500 million in shareholder equity” – 0.1% (estimated)

Leong Sze Hian

About the Author

Leong
Leong Sze Hian has served as the president of 4 professional bodies, honorary consul of 2 countries, an alumnus of Harvard University, authored 4 books, quoted over 1500 times in the media , has been a radio talkshow host, a newspaper daily columnist, Wharton Fellow, SEACeM Fellow, columnist for theonlinecitizen and Malaysiakini, executive producer of Ilo Ilo (40 international awards), Hotel Mumbai (associate producer), invited to speak more than 200 times in about 40 countries, CIFA advisory board member, founding advisor to the Financial Planning Associations of 2 countries. He has 3 Masters, 2 Bachelors degrees and 13 professional  qualifications.